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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
37.33% ( 4.94) | 26.54% ( 0.13) | 36.12% ( -5.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% ( 0.05) | 52.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( 0.05) | 74.17% ( -0.05) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( 3.09) | 27.25% ( -3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( 3.85) | 62.68% ( -3.85) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -2.8) | 27.97% ( 2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -3.71) | 63.6% ( 3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 1.01)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.63)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.82) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -1.08)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.71)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.12% |
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