Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
16.32% ( 0.04) | 20.48% ( 0.02) | 63.19% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.4% ( 0.02) | 42.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35% ( 0.02) | 65% ( -0.02) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.76% ( 0.06) | 39.23% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% ( 0.06) | 75.94% ( -0.06) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( -0.02) | 12.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.78% ( -0.03) | 39.21% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.32% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.48% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.19% |
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