SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
44.93% ( -0.07) | 25.1% ( -0.16) | 29.97% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.8) | 47.92% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.73) | 70.1% ( -0.73) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( 0.31) | 21.35% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.69% ( 0.47) | 54.31% ( -0.46) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.58) | 29.67% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.69) | 65.72% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.97% |
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