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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
34.2% ( -0.73) | 26.68% ( -0.31) | 39.12% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( 1.16) | 53.24% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( 0.98) | 74.8% ( -0.97) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.11) | 29.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.13) | 65.54% ( -0.13) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 1.14) | 26.6% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( 1.48) | 61.82% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.11% |
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