Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.17) 
