Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.3) 
