Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.04) 
