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Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Campo Jogos D. Maria Teresa

Sandinenses
0 - 2
AVS


Daniel Pereira Silva (51'), Pinheiro da Fonseca (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis (48' pen.), Mercado (66')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sandinenses and AVS.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: AVS 4-1 Sandinenses
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Last Game: Arouca 1-1 AVS
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sandinenses had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Sandinenses win it was 2-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AVS would win this match.

Result
SandinensesDrawAVS
20.64% (0.131 0.13) 21.97% (0.07 0.07) 57.39% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.131 -0.13)42.37% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (-0.13 -0.13)64.77% (0.128 0.13)
Sandinenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)34.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.061 0.06)71.03% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.11 -0.11)14.54% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-0.21 -0.21)42.57% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sandinenses 20.64%
    AVS 57.39%
    Draw 21.96%
SandinensesDrawAVS
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.85% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 20.64%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AVS 4-1 Sandinenses
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 AVS
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 AVS
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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