SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for AVS had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | AVS |
51.28% ( -0.27) | 22.88% ( 0.05) | 25.84% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.02) | 40.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( -0.03) | 63.12% ( 0.02) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.11) | 16.01% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( -0.19) | 45.33% ( 0.19) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.16) | 28.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( 0.2) | 64.84% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | AVS |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 25.84% |
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