SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.27%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | AVS |
82.27% ( -0.12) | 11.43% ( 0.17) | 6.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.55% ( -1.27) | 27.45% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.95% ( -1.62) | 48.05% ( 1.62) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.08% ( -0.25) | 4.92% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.26% ( -0.77) | 19.74% ( 0.77) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.96% ( -1.22) | 47.04% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.48% ( -0.94) | 82.52% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | AVS |
| 3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14)6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.24% Total : 82.25% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.87% Total : 11.43% | 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.3% |
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