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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
AVS

Silva (24'), Safira (57')
Miguel Lopes Matos (0'), Soares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grau (34')
Alaba (57'), Mena Palacios (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Santa Clara 2-0 AVS

Santa Clara and AVS have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will head into Saturday looking to pick up from where they dropped off last weekend. Santa Clara won both home and away meetings between the sides last term and we are tipping them to come out on top in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawAVS
44.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)53.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.012 -0.01)58.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)69.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 44.26%
    AVS 29.36%
    Draw 26.37%
Santa ClaraDrawAVS
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-4 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica B 1-3 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Santa Clara 4-2 Boavista
Wednesday, July 24 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 4-2 AVS
Friday, August 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-0 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AVS 6-1 Arenteiro
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3


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