SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Leeds United |
25.38% ( 0.26) | 23.66% ( 0.02) | 50.96% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( 0.16) | 44.67% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.16) | 67.04% ( -0.15) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.3) | 31.4% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( 0.34) | 67.77% ( -0.34) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( -0.04) | 17.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( -0.08) | 48.14% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 50.96% |
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