With four games left to guarantee their second-tier status for next season, both teams will be desperate for three points on Saturday, setting up a tight and intriguing encounter.
Both boasting similar levels of quality, and unable to afford what would be a damaging defeat, we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome at Hillsborough.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
