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SL
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
SW

Stoke
0 - 1
Sheff Weds


Burger (10'), McNally (82'), Clark (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Musaba (90+1')
Famewo (9'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (90+6'), Musaba (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Blackburn
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite their poor start to the season, Sheffield Wednesday will certainly travel with renewed confidence following their recent results and have reason to be optimistic with Rohl at the helm. We fancy the Owls to score a first away win of the season against a Stoke City side who are slipping down the table in the midst of a rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
45.32% (0.119 0.12) 26.21% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 28.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.101 -0.1)53.25% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)74.81% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.43% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.43% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-0.151 -0.15)33.52% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (-0.165 -0.16)70.16% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 45.32%
    Sheffield Wednesday 28.47%
    Draw 26.2%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Blackburn
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Leicester
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Rotherham
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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