Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
36.18% ( 0.6)	26.76% ( 0.09)	37.05% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.33)

53.4% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-0.28)

74.93% (

0.28)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.2)

28.36% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.25)

64.1% (

-0.26)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.56)

27.85% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

-0.72)

63.45% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 36.18%

Tokyo Verdy 37.04%

Draw 26.76%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.18%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.04%