Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
41.53% ( -0.03)	26.79% ( 0.01)	31.68% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-0.01)

54.21% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-0.01)

75.61% (

0.01)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.02)

25.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33% (

-0.03)

60.68% (

0.04)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

0.02)

31.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.02)

68.09% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.53%

Tokyo Verdy 31.68%

Draw 26.78%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.68%