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J1 League | Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 at 5am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
1 - 2
Shonan Bellmare

Toyokawa (19')
Appiah Tawiah (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tanaka (15'), Suzuki (82')
Barada (51')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, February 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawShonan Bellmare
33.94% (0.285 0.29) 26.37% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 39.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.28100000000001 0.28)52% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.243 0.24)73.74% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.321 0.32)29.07% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.394 0.39)64.99% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)60.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 33.94%
    Shonan Bellmare 39.7%
    Draw 26.37%
Kyoto SangaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, February 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Yokohama
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 21 at 7am in J1 League


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