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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 6am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Wellington (6')
Mae (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ikeda (13')
Ohno (38'), Suzuki (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawShonan Bellmare
34.15% (-0.101 -0.1) 29.12% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 36.72% (0.145 0.14)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72% (0.163 0.16)62.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (0.117 0.12)81.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (0.02 0.02)70.84% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.17700000000001 0.18)32.45% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (0.201 0.2)68.97% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 34.15%
    Shonan Bellmare 36.72%
    Draw 29.12%
Avispa FukuokaDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-4 Yokohama
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League


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