While Sintrense have been handed a tough challenge in the third round, they will be keen to show their mettle against one of the best sides in the country. However, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we are backing Porto to run riot at the Estadio Jose Gomes this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Sintrense had a probability of 6.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.64%) and 0-1 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Sintrense win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.13) 
