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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
B

Porto
2 - 1
Braga

Galeno (45+1' pen.), Pepe (59')
Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes (11'), Mario (19'), Carvalho (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandes (54')
Ferreira (43'), Carvalho (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Porto 3-1 Braga

Braga have lost each of their last four Primeira Liga visits to the Estadio do Dragao and are in for another tough 90 against a Porto side who are unbeaten in 10 straight competitive home games. While we expect Carvalhal's men to put up a fight, Porto boast the firepower needed to get the job done, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
58.27% (0.321 0.32) 21.52% (-0.125 -0.13) 20.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.307 0.31)40.92% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.313 0.31)63.31% (-0.308 -0.31)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.20399999999999 0.2)13.78% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.395 0.39)41.09% (-0.39 -0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)70.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.27%
    Braga 20.21%
    Draw 21.51%
PortoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Porto
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, September 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nacional 0-3 Braga
Friday, September 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Braga
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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