SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
58.27% ( 0.32) | 21.52% ( -0.13) | 20.21% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.31) | 40.92% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.31) | 63.31% ( -0.31) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( 0.2) | 13.78% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.91% ( 0.39) | 41.09% ( -0.39) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.01) | 33.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.6% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
