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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
A

Porto
4 - 0
Arouca

Omorodion (47'), Gonzalez (51'), Galeno (57'), Gul (85')
Varela (35'), Mora Carvalho (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yalcin (32'), Sylla (32')
Yalcin (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Porto
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Arouca

Despite what might have played out in the previous season, Porto are backed to inflict Arouca's fifth league loss this term to pile more misery on an injury-afflicted opponent and record their fifth consecutive top-flight victory at the Dragao since the backend of last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
77.36% (1.219 1.22) 14.31% (-0.514 -0.51) 8.34% (-0.701 -0.7)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-1.283 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.58% (0.037000000000006 0.04)34.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.67% (0.042000000000002 0.04)56.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.76% (0.261 0.26)7.25% (-0.2569 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.74% (0.673 0.67)26.26% (-0.668 -0.67)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.87% (-1.533 -1.53)47.14% (1.539 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.41% (-1.18 -1.18)82.59% (1.184 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.35%
    Arouca 8.34%
    Draw 14.31%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 11.76% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.29% (0.384 0.38)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.76% (0.341 0.34)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.55% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.55% (0.118 0.12)
6-1 @ 1.17% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 77.35%
1-1 @ 6.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.31%
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 8.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Porto
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes
Monday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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