Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 1-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Brommapojkarna win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
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