Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.16%) and 3-1 (6.13%). The likeliest Brommapojkarna win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
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