SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
19.9% ( -0.18) | 22.12% ( 0.05) | 57.97% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -0.47) | 44.09% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.46) | 66.47% ( 0.47) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.46) | 36.06% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -0.48) | 72.84% ( 0.48) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.12) | 14.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.68% ( -0.22) | 43.32% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.9% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.96% |
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