SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Galatasaray in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
31.82% ( 0.88) | 26.14% ( 0.04) | 42.03% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.15) | 51.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( 0.13) | 73.38% ( -0.13) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0.68) | 30.25% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( 0.8) | 66.42% ( -0.8) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.39) | 24.31% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.55) | 58.69% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.02% |
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