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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
3 - 2
Samsunspor

Osimhen (3', 55'), Batshuayi (85')
Osimhen (34'), Muslera (49'), Sanchez (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (50' pen.), Ait Bennasser (90+3' pen.)
Ait Bennasser (30'), Kilinc (55'), Tait (90+5'), Muja (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Spurs
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Monday, November 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Samsunspor

Samsunspor are almost unstoppable at the moment, but they will be travelling to face a team that is operating at a higher level right now, and we believe that the home support and player quality of the hosts will help them edge the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawSamsunspor
59.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 20.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.68% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)37.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)59.76% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)12.28% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.97% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)38.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51%32.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.01%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 59.69%
    Samsunspor 19.68%
    Draw 20.63%
GalatasarayDrawSamsunspor
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.77%
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 59.69%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Spurs
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Besiktas
Monday, October 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 4-3 Elfsborg
Wednesday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: RFS 2-2 Galatasaray
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Monday, November 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-4 Samsunspor
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 4-3 Goztepe SK
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, September 22 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig


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