SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Alanyaspor |
71.77% ( -0.09) | 15.97% ( 0.07) | 12.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.96% ( -0.34) | 30.04% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.42) | 51.23% ( 0.41) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( -0.1) | 7.35% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.45% ( -0.26) | 26.54% ( 0.26) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.23) | 36.66% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.23) | 73.45% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 12.26% |
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