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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 2-3 (4.82%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
35.36% ( -0.01) | 21.23% ( -0) | 43.41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 72% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.02) | 27.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.02) | 47.62% ( -0.02) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( 0.01) | 16.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.47% ( 0.01) | 46.53% ( -0) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.02) | 13.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( 0.02) | 40.73% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.94% 4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.24% 3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.82% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 43.41% |
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