Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
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