SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 3-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
50.16% ( 0.45) | 20.23% ( -0.08) | 29.62% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 73.07% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.14) | 24.69% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.19) | 44.51% ( -0.19) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( 0.17) | 10.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.45% ( 0.39) | 34.55% ( -0.39) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( -0.12) | 18.2% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( -0.21) | 49.22% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 29.62% |
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