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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.66%) and 3-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
46.33% ( -0.99) | 20.09% ( 0.64) | 33.58% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 75.93% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.09% ( -2.99) | 21.91% ( 2.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.23% ( -4.23) | 40.77% ( 4.23) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( -1.38) | 10.69% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.4% ( -3.19) | 34.59% ( 3.19) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( -1.33) | 14.98% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( -2.59) | 43.41% ( 2.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.57)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.15)4-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.18)5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.24)Other @ 4.64% Total : 46.33% | 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.79)3-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.33)4-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.24)Other @ 5% Total : 33.58% |
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