SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.88%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
35.68% ( -0.02) | 21.08% ( 0.05) | 43.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 72.68% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0.25) | 26.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.33) | 46.54% ( 0.32) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( -0.12) | 16.15% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% ( -0.23) | 45.59% ( 0.23) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.11) | 13.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% ( -0.22) | 40.17% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.65% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 43.24% |
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