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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 39.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.92%) and 3-2 (4.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
39.9% ( -0.22) | 20.83% ( 0.01) | 39.27% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 74.21% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.06) | 24.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.07) | 44.27% ( 0.07) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( -0.1) | 13.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.98% ( -0.2) | 41.02% ( 0.2) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.05) | 13.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 0.1) | 41.46% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.32% 3-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.27% |
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