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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 39.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.27%) and 1-3 (4.88%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
39.54% ( -0.47) | 19.78% ( -0) | 40.69% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 78.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.88% ( 0.01) | 19.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.02) | 36.82% ( -0.02) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( -0.14) | 11.54% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.55% ( -0.3) | 36.45% ( 0.3) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( 0.15) | 11.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.31% ( 0.32) | 35.69% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.13% Total : 39.54% | 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-1 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)3-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 40.69% |
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