SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
63.17% ( -0.11) | 20.94% ( 0.03) | 15.89% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0) | 45.41% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0) | 67.75% ( -0) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( -0.03) | 13.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59% ( -0.06) | 41% ( 0.06) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0.09) | 41.5% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22% ( 0.08) | 77.99% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 63.17% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.94% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.89% |
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