SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
61.03% ( -2.18) | 21.29% ( 0.73) | 17.69% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.69) | 43.78% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.68) | 66.17% ( 0.68) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.87) | 13.86% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.74% ( -1.74) | 41.26% ( 1.74) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 1.34) | 38.3% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( 1.27) | 75.06% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.92% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.69% |
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