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National League | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
SU

Ebbsfleet
1 - 1
Southend

Poleon (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cardwell (21')
Miley (6'), Scott-Morriss (30')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawSouthend United
35.35% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.81% (-0.026 -0.03) 39.85% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.127 0.13)44.91% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.121 0.12)67.26% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (0.087000000000003 0.09)24.83% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (0.119 0.12)59.43% (-0.117 -0.12)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.065000000000005 0.07)56% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 35.35%
    Southend United 39.85%
    Draw 24.8%
EbbsfleetDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.85%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-4 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Woking
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Southend
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-0 Woking
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Dorking
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League


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