SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Always Ready win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Always Ready |
67.68% ( 0.09) | 18.53% ( -0.02) | 13.78% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.07) | 38.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.07) | 61.23% ( 0.07) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% | 10.56% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.7% ( 0.01) | 34.29% ( -0.01) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.15) | 40.34% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( -0.13) | 76.97% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Always Ready |
| 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 4.44% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.78% |
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