SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
55.24% ( -0.15) | 24.74% ( 0.01) | 20.02% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.15) | 54.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.12) | 75.9% ( -0.12) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0) | 19.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% ( -0) | 51.69% ( 0) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.24) | 41.96% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( 0.21) | 78.4% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emelec | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.02% |
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