SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | River Plate |
31.82% ( -0.86) | 25.01% ( -0.13) | 43.17% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( 0.26) | 46.73% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( 0.25) | 68.99% ( -0.24) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.42) | 27.83% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( -0.54) | 63.43% ( 0.54) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.57) | 21.65% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 0.87) | 54.78% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
