SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Racing de Santander |
49.94% ( 0.16) | 27.6% ( -0.08) | 22.46% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.17% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.01% ( 0.17) | 61.99% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( 0.13) | 81.73% ( -0.13) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.15) | 25.09% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( 0.21) | 59.78% ( -0.21) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.01) | 43.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.12% ( 0.01) | 79.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.46% |
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