Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Levante in this match.
0.07) 
-0.21) 
