SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.73%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
39.35% ( -1.08) | 31.47% ( 0.21) | 29.18% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 37.61% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.34) | 69.97% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.78% ( -0.22) | 87.22% ( 0.22) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.86) | 34.89% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% ( -0.92) | 71.63% ( 0.92) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0.54) | 42.23% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( 0.46) | 78.64% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 15.51% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.34% | 0-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.46% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.02% Total : 29.18% |
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