SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Alcorcon |
53.97% ( 0.18) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 19.14% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 39.97% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.35% ( 0.02) | 62.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.79% ( 0.02) | 82.21% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.09) | 23.55% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.4% ( 0.13) | 57.6% ( -0.13) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.14) | 47.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.98% ( -0.11) | 83.02% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 16.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.14% |
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