SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Coquimbo Unido |
34.08% ( -0.22) | 28.01% ( -0.03) | 37.91% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.6% ( 0.09) | 58.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( 0.07) | 79% ( -0.06) |
| Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.1) | 32.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( -0.12) | 68.67% ( 0.12) |
| Coquimbo Unido Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.2) | 29.76% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% ( 0.23) | 65.83% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Coquimbo Unido |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.9% |
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