SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
25.98% ( 0.11) | 25.25% ( -0.01) | 48.78% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( 0.14) | 50.95% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( 0.12) | 72.82% ( -0.12) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.17) | 34.28% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( 0.18) | 70.98% ( -0.18) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.02) | 20.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( 0.02) | 53.62% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.98% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.77% |
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