SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
42.16% ( -0.01) | 24.94% ( -0) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.01) | 46.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.01) | 68.35% ( -0.01) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0) | 21.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( 0) | 55.05% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.01) | 26.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.01) | 62.11% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.9% |
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