SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
54.38% ( -0.06) | 23.09% ( -0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.2) | 45.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.19) | 67.39% ( -0.19) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0.05) | 16.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( 0.09) | 46.18% ( -0.09) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( 0.18) | 34.05% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( 0.2) | 70.74% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 22.53% |
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