SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
33.38% ( 0.06) | 27.57% ( 0) | 39.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% ( 0.01) | 56.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( 0.01) | 77.76% ( -0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.05) | 31.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( 0.06) | 68.29% ( -0.06) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -0.03) | 28.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -0.04) | 64.06% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05% |
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