SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
36.66% ( 0.2) | 27.06% ( -0.04) | 36.28% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.4% ( 0.16) | 54.59% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% ( 0.13) | 75.93% ( -0.14) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 0.2) | 28.65% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( 0.25) | 64.47% ( -0.25) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.02) | 28.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( -0.03) | 64.75% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.27% |
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